Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: June 14, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Camila Morrone and Sam Claflin play married couple Camila and Billy in “Daisy Jones and the Six.”
Lacey Terrell/Prime Video
Weekly Commentary: For the past four Emmy ceremonies, Netflix has had a strong presence in the limited or anthology series category with “Godless,” “When They See Us,” “Unbelievable,” “Unorthodox,” “The Queen’s Gambit” and “Inventing Anna.” With “Gambit” the only victor in that run, they have two mighty shows with the critical backing and acclaim to get them over the finish line — Ryan Murphy’s “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” and Lee Sung-jin’s “Beef,” which is co-produced by the current reigning Oscar champion studio, A24. However, even though each has its own share of individual baggage and controversy, the miniseries have managed to stay above the fray and look assured of Emmy recognition.
With its look at serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer, the Netflix series is one of many stories with a killer edge in the race. Apple TV+’s “Black Bird” looks at the convicted killer and rapist Larry Hall (played by supporting front-runner Paul Walter Hauser) while
Prime Video’s “Daisy Jones & the Six” has a legion of followers on social and consumer spaces. However, it’s unclear if that will translate with TV Academy voters. The team has been doing their rounds leading up to voting, including gracing the cover of Variety’s Women of Awards season special issue.
We’re anticipating five nominees in this category since we’re currently tracking about 47 entrants. Eighty submissions are needed for six nominees (160 for seven and over 240 for eight).
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Love & Death” (HBO)
- “George & Tammy” (Showtime)
- “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
- “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock)
- “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “The White Lotus” (HBO) — Season 1 — Mike White, David Bernad, Nick Hall (executive producers); Mark Kamine (co-executive producer)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.